Atletico DE Rafaelavs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico DE Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.1 against 51.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60