GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico DE Rafaela are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico DE RafaelaLDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gimnasia Y TiroLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico DE RafaelaGimnasia Y Tiro
24.0Attack36.1
74.7Defence69.4
46.7Form51.4
50.9Power54.7
0.47xG0.51
View match centre →