GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico DE Rafaela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico DE RafaelaWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoLDDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
25.0Attack23.2
73.6Defence69.6
47.2Form36.2
51.1Power45.3
0.51xG0.33
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