GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico DE Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico DE Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Club Atlético Güemes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Primera Nacional, while Atletico DE Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico DE Rafaela

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Atletico DE Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico DE RafaelaDLWWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club Atlético GüemesDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico DE RafaelaClub Atlético Güemes
24.0Attack29.2
74.7Defence40.3
46.7Form27.8
50.9Power35.8
0.98xG0.39
View match centre →