Atletico DE Rafaelavs
Agropecuario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atletico DE Rafaela are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Agropecuario are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40