GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico DE Rafaela are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Agropecuario are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico DE Rafaela hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico DE RafaelaDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico DE RafaelaAgropecuario
24.0Attack29.3
74.7Defence62.7
46.7Form38.7
50.9Power45.6
0.59xG0.41
View match centre →