Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlet are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rebel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rebel hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rebel
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
10.3%
Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00