Atlasvs
Tigres UANL
LIVEMexico · Liga MX · 8/16/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tigres UANL are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Liga MX, while Atlas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
11.1%
Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40