Atlasvs
Guadalajara Chivas
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/4/2026, 2:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Atlas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guadalajara Chivas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara Chivas hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20