GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlas U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tigres UANL U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas U21 hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga MX U21, while Atlas U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlas U21

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

Atlas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlas U21LDLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tigres UANL U21LWLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atlas U21Tigres UANL U21
0.0Attack33.3
77.8Defence11.1
11.1Form33.3
32.9Power30.3
1.31xG0.88
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