GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atlanta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtlantaWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezWDDLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AtlantaTristan Suarez
41.7Attack33.3
65.3Defence82.6
54.2Form60.9
55.5Power61.0
0.58xG0.65
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