GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlanta United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Atlanta United II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New York City II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlanta United II hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Atlanta United II holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlanta United II

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

8.7%

Atlanta United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United IILWWDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
New York City IILWWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlanta United IINew York City II
69.8Attack55.0
46.0Defence50.0
54.0Form51.7
56.7Power53.1
2.32xG1.65
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