Atlanta United FCvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlanta United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 84.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
10.8%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00