Atlanta United FCvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlanta United FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Major League Soccer, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York Red Bulls
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
10.4%
New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80