Atlanta United FCvs
DC United
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
DC United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while DC United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and DC United hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Major League Soccer, while DC United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
DC United
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
12.5%
DC United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80