GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlanta United FCDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Columbus CrewLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCColumbus Crew
35.2Attack48.1
38.9Defence48.1
22.2Form37.0
34.7Power46.3
1.14xG1.68
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