GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Atl. Rafaela 2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Boca Juniors Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors Res. hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Reserve League, while Boca Juniors Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors Res.

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Boca Juniors Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atl. Rafaela 2LLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Boca Juniors Res.WLWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atl. Rafaela 2Boca Juniors Res.
37.9Attack58.3
37.9Defence83.3
25.8Form66.7
35.5Power68.5
0.54xG2.18
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