Athlone Townvs
UCD
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 7/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Athlone Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UCD are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20