GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 7/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athlone Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athlone Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Midleton are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the FAI Cup, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athlone Town

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athlone TownWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MidletonWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Athlone TownMidleton
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
59.3Power45.8
2.03xG1.35
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