Athlone Townvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 8/7/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athlone Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Longford Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and longford Town hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the First Division, favouring a draw with 17.3% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
17.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00