Athlone Townvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 4/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Athlone Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Longford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60