GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 6/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athlone Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Athlone Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Finn Harps are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the First Division, while Athlone Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athlone Town

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Athlone Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athlone TownDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Athlone TownFinn Harps
32.1Attack25.9
59.3Defence34.6
38.3Form27.2
45.4Power32.3
1.40xG0.57
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