GGOALVIO

Athletic Club logoAthletic ClubvsNautico Recife logoNautico Recife

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie B · 4/27/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nautico Recife are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico RecifeLLWWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubNautico Recife
33.3Attack39.7
71.4Defence60.3
49.2Form41.3
54.1Power48.1
0.87xG0.61
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