GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Athletic Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eibar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic ClubWWWLD

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EibarDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubEibar
100.0Attack50.0
75.0Defence94.4
66.7Form61.1
72.9Power67.0
2.10xG0.96
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