Athletic Clubvs
America Mineiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Athletic Club are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Serie B, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40