GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 8/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Carpi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Athletic Carpi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pianese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Athletic Carpi holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Carpi

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

14.3%

Athletic Carpi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Athletic CarpiWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PianeseWDDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Athletic CarpiPianese
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.30xG1.11
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