GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atenas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atenas

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtenasLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Uruguay MontevideoDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AtenasUruguay Montevideo
49.1Attack38.6
57.9Defence61.4
50.9Form42.1
53.6Power49.4
1.24xG0.88
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