GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Atalanta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (76.8 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta

Probability

76.1%

Model confidence

12.7%

Atalanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtalantaWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic ClubLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AtalantaAthletic Club
100.0Attack33.3
76.2Defence57.1
76.2Form28.6
76.8Power41.7
2.63xG0.73
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