GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 3/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Astrakhan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Spartak Nalchik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Nalchik hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Second League - Group 1, while Spartak Nalchik holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Nalchik

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AstrakhanLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak NalchikWDWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AstrakhanSpartak Nalchik
44.4Attack49.0
50.0Defence68.6
38.9Form52.9
45.2Power57.2
0.86xG1.39
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