AstrakhanvsMashuk-KMV

Astrakhan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mashuk-KMV are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mashuk-KMV hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Cup, while Mashuk-KMV holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.