Aston Villavs
Real Sociedad
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Aston Villa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.0 against 43.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60