Aston Villavs
Elche
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 3/27/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aston Villa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Elche are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Elche hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
12.3%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20