Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Astana II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tobol 2 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
8.8%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20