GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Astana II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 39.6-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.7% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

78.7%

Model confidence

78.7%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Astana IIWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 0 · avg 4.40/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
Astana IIShakhter Karagandy
53.7Attack94.4
38.9Defence87.0
48.1Form90.7
48.1Power87.7
0.92xG3.33
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