Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Astana II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jaiyq are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.1 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20