Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Astana II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arys are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80