GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Astana II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Aktobe Jas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Astana II

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Astana IILLLWL

GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Aktobe JasWWLLL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Astana IIAktobe Jas
53.7Attack53.7
38.9Defence0.0
48.1Form31.5
48.1Power30.2
3.23xG1.75
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