GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Assisense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Assisense are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fé FC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Assisense hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Assisense holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Assisense

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Assisense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AssisenseDDDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Santa Fé FCLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AssisenseSanta Fé FC
47.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
41.7Form20.0
50.6Power32.0
2.14xG0.77
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