GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Assisense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Assisense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Riopretano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Assisense hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Assisense holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Assisense

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Assisense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AssisenseLWDDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
RiopretanoLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AssisenseRiopretano
47.2Attack30.0
55.6Defence46.7
41.7Form23.3
50.6Power36.5
1.69xG0.70
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