Assisensevs
America SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Assisense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while America SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America SP
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60