Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asiagoal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Asiagoal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Toktogul are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.3 against 41.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Premier League, while Asiagoal holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Asiagoal
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Asiagoal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60