Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Asiagoal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bars are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bars hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Premier League, while Bars holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bars
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Bars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40