Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Asiagoal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alay hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alay
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40