GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ashton United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lancaster City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ashton UnitedLWLDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lancaster CityDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ashton UnitedLancaster City
83.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
89.7Power42.7
2.13xG0.97
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