Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asane · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Asane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while hodd are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Asane hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Asane holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Asane
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Asane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40