Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asane · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Asane are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bjarg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Asane hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (47.5 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Asane holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Asane
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Asane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00