ASAvs
Juazeirense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
ASA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juazeirense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ASA
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00