Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
ASA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CSE are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ASA
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
18.3%
ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00