ASAvs
Atlético Alagoinhas
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
ASA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 25.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ASA
Probability
81.4%
Model confidence
81.4%
ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80