GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 6/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaspij Aktau 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arys are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kaspij Aktau 2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaspij Aktau 2 hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (32.4 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the 1. Division, while Kaspij Aktau 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kaspij Aktau 2

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Kaspij Aktau 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArysDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kaspij Aktau 2LLLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
ArysKaspij Aktau 2
35.2Attack50.0
29.6Defence42.6
25.9Form44.4
32.4Power45.5
1.28xG2.05
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