Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Arys are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aktobe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arys hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Cup, while Arys holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arys
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Arys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00